Author: Jack
I retired in 2008 and so I have more time now to devote to several of my interests The blog here is mainly for my interests in some current events but may have the occasional rant on other subjects. I have also decided to keep my genealogy posts and book reviews here instead of 2 additional blogs (and so simplify my life a little).

Ridiculous pledge, oath of office, and fiscal cliff

Ridiculous pledge, oath of office, and fiscal cliff

As our Congress tries to negotiate the fiscal cliff one of the major difficulties is that many members have pledged not to raise taxes. This ridiculous pledge is to Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform.

But members of Congress have taken a more solemn pledge in their oath of office.

A few have now decided to abandon their “no taxes” pledge if it interferes with governing.

I am not sure if this is encouraging news or it is discouraging that there are only a few of these brave souls. I would think it fairly obvious that the oath of office trumps a “no taxes” pledge to a private party.

Republicans have no mandate

Republicans have no mandate

Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform, thinks the Republicans in the House have a mandate.

But the Republicans lost big. In the words of The Economist :

The Democrats won 50.6% of the votes for president, to 47.8% for the Republicans; 53.6% of the votes for the Senate, to 42.9% for the Republicans; and…49% of the votes for the House, to 48.2% for the Republicans (some ballots are still being counted). That’s not a vote for divided government. It’s a clean sweep.

The Democrats gained seats in the Senate and in the House and won the Presidency. The Republicans did keep their majority in the House via gerrymandering but it is a smaller majority.

What part of “Republicans have no mandate” does Mr. Norquist have trouble understanding?

Republican Party of Ignorance

Republican Party of Ignorance

There seems to be a battle within the Republican Party as to whether they are the Party of Ignorance or the Party of Stupid.

But the saying is:

“Stupid is forever, ignorance can be fixed.”

Education can fix the ignorance problem but the Republicans do not seem interested in learning. They are willfully ignorant of basic knowledge and this should be unacceptable.

In “1984” George Orwell’s dystopian and satirical novel the Party that stayed in control of the government used the slogan Ignorance Is Strength. Perhaps the Republicans are on to something.

Implement and Improve the Affordable Care Act (ACA)

Implement and Improve the Affordable Care Act (ACA)

Now that the election is over and Democrats remain in control of the Senate and President Obama occupies the Whitehouse, it should be clear to everyone that repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is extremely unlikely and House Republicans can stop wasting their time with this repeal and replace nonsense for at least the next 4 years.

There are many good things about the law. Or at least I think it is good that insurance companies cannot exclude people who they think will be expensive because of preexisting conditions. I think it is good that they cannot cap the benefits someone who gets seriously sick can receive. But I do not believe the law is perfect.

There are also a good number of things that do not seem like great ideas. And people will differ in opinions as to what those are. For example, many oppose the individual mandate to have health insurance. Others may think the free rider provision for employers is not such a great idea.

You can disagree with some provisions of the law without disliking all of it.

But the ACA is law and there is almost no chance of that changing. I see lots of good things but there are also problems, or at least provisions that some people see as problems. Unless you are happy with all of it, actively encourage your Representatives, Senators, and President to improve the ACA.

Bipartisan Cabinet

Bipartisan Cabinet

It has been suggested that President Obama could have a bipartisan cabinet for his second term. Here is an example of 2 Republicans who could be great additions to the cabinet.

BUT there is a school of thought that IF President Obama wanted to show bipartisanship, he could do what Franklin D. Roosevelt did in World War II–pick Republicans who are intelligent, sane, responsible, and who are no longer serving in the Senate, to serve in his cabinet, and the State Department would offer a great location to put soon to be former Senator Richard Lugar of Indiana, an acknowledged foreign policy expert, and a man who has worked well with Obama when they were both Senators, and went off to Russia to promote the safe collection of nuclear weapons stockpiles in 2005-2006. Lugar is a wonderful statesman, and would fill the job with excellence and professionalism. And he has been, like Kerry, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman in the past, and is still the ranking member of the committee until he leaves the Senate in January.

Additionally, as suggested earlier, former Republican Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, a Vietnam War veteran and military expert, would be an excellent choice to serve in the Pentagon as Secretary of Defense. Always highly regarded and respected, Hagel would add stature to our Defense Department.

Such appointments would neutralize, to a great extent, Republican attacks on President Obama in the areas of foreign policy, national security, and defense policy.

See http://www.theprogressiveprofessor.com/?p=20041 for the full article.

I would like to add a suggestion, Jon Huntsman, former governor and ambassador, as Treasury Secretary.

Huntsman for Treasury

Huntsman for Treasury

It seems we are in the market for a new Treasury Secretary. It is a very important position in the cabinet. President Obama must work with the Republicans in Congress to continue the recovery and improve upon the economy of the United States.

The problem is that both sides have very different ideas about what we should do and there is a lack of trust. Trust would certainly improve the chances of finding some middle ground that both sides can agree on. Perhaps one way to improve that trust is by naming a new Treasury Secretary that both sides can trust.

Jon Huntsman ran in the Republican presidential primary and was a successful governor of a conservative state. He was also President Obama’s ambassador to China. Both sides have reason to trust him.

In addition, Jon Huntsman has made serious proposals about economic regulation and job growth and is a good choice as Treasury Secretary.

New York City Stories

New York City Stories

If you are interested in New York, you might enjoy the new website http://narrative.ly That is narrative.ly

The dot is important since if you leave it out, you will end up at another website. This website publishes original, true and in-depth stories about New York City.

I found the site and became interested because one of my favorite authors Gabriel Cohen published a non-fiction short story about his Brooklyn apartment there. (See http://www.jackreidy.com/blog/2012/09/27/a-splash-of-red-by-gabriel-cohen/ for a more complete story about my discovery.

Enjoy!

It may be a good time to do some actual governing

It may be a good time to do some actual governing

Now that the election is over, it may be a good time to do some actual governing. Seems the parties need to find enough common ground to reach a compromise and prevent us from falling off a fiscal cliff on this next January. Refusal to compromise could put us back in recession ( http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20121107-720595.html )

Voting Problems

Voting Problems

Is there a voting problem?

http://jezebel.com/5958108/oh-lovely-at-least-one-voting-machine-in-pennsylvania-isnt-accepting-votes-for-obama

Is this true? Is this is problem elsewhere too?

Worth a read before you go to the polls, if you haven’t voted yet.

Worth a read even if you have voted.

This seems to have really happened but I have not seen any reports indicating a widespread problem

See
http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/06/politics/election-voting/index.html

http://blogs.seattletimes.com/uwelectioneye/2012/11/06/video-possible-voter-fraud-in-pennsylvania/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/anthonykosner/2012/11/06/pa-voting-machine-taken-offline-after-this-video-showed-obama-vote-going-to-romney/

this election, you dislike both, 3rd party candidates

this election, you dislike both, 3rd party candidates

Just to quickly review what I’ve had to say about this election, see http://www.jackreidy.com/blog/tag/mitt-romney/.

Also if you are undecided between the 2 major candidates because you dislike both, have a look at 3rd party candidates in your state.

Obama, Romney, campaign promises, be afraid

Obama, Romney, campaign promises, be afraid

Obama says stuff; Romney says stuff. You might think of them as campaign promises. But there is a difference –

With Obama, you might be afraid he won’t deliver on all his promises.

With Romney, you worry that he might deliver on some.

Be afraid, very afraid.

Only 12 Million jobs, Governor Romney

Only 12 Million jobs, Governor Romney

Mitt Romney has mentioned many times that his policies will add 12 million jobs.

I wrote about this before but thought an update is in order.

He says this will happen over his 4 year administration and it will be due to his five-point plan.

Or at least that is what he seems to be saying.

Turns out there is no strong tie to his 5 point plan, just a tie to average growth returning. Over 4 years this breaks down to a quarter million jobs added per month.

When Obama took over as President we were losing over 800,000 jobs per month. He turned that around and we have been gaining jobs since early 2010. The figures bounce around from month to month but have been over a quarter million some months and significantly less others but always positive. (See Is the Obama job recovery really so bad? And the stimulus worked ).

Is it better to trust the man who got us out of the job decline and is actually gaining jobs or the man who says he is going to do somewhat better but has no evidence to back-up his claim?

Is the Obama job recovery really so bad? And the stimulus worked

Is the Obama job recovery really so bad? And the stimulus worked

There has been much complaint about the Obama job recovery and many think we should trust our economy to Governor Romney because President Obama is doing such a bad job. His stimulus failed they say.

In my view President Obama is doing a good job considering where we came from 4 years ago and the lack of cooperation from Republicans in Congress who have blocked many of his attempts in the past 2 years to fix the jobs situation.

There is absolutely no credible evidence that Republican ideas would help the job market. Well, there are theories and “Atlas Shrugged” but no real evidence. After all, Republican ideas were put into effect in the years before the economic melt-down and we saw the result. Why are these ideas and this party going to fix things now?

So I thought it would be a good idea to revisit an old post from over a year ago and update it with new job figures.

The graph below shows the month to month change in private employment during the months from January 2008 to October 2012. The numbers on the right indicate thousands of jobs gained or lost each month. All numbers and the graph are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor.

The graph clearly shows accelerating job loss in 2008 hitting over 800,0000 jobs lost in January 2009, staying in that area for several months, followed by a decreasing job loss, and emerging into positive job growth in early 2010. The job growth is too small bring down our stubbornly high unemployment rate but it is moving in the right direction. We need to create more jobs to keep up with the constantly growing labor force. Total job figures are a bit lower as we have the number of jobs in the public sector decreasing in many months.

Jobs Chart BLS OCT 2012

There are quite a few things that could influence the economy in this time. The slow-down in job decline in early 2009 seems to suggest that stimulus plan seems to have worked but is now slowing down. The TARP program passed in late 2008 may have helped this recovery. And one could argue that things would be better or worse if we had followed a different plan.

So President Obama seems to be doing as well as could be expected and it seems the most sensible course would be to re-elect him and re-elect fewer Republicans to Congress.

Listen carefully to Mitt Romney on FEMA

Listen carefully to Mitt Romney on FEMA

Listen carefully to Mitt Romney. He seems to say stuff and you think he agrees with you. Last year there was an exchange with CNN’s John King at a debate that seemed to indicate he did not approve of FEMA. I guess it was easy to believe he would abolish it but that is not what he said.

This partial transcript is from breitbart.com.

KING: Governor Romney? You’ve been a chief executive of a state. I was just in Joplin, Missouri. I’ve been in Mississippi and Louisiana and Tennessee and other communities dealing with whether it’s the tornadoes, the flooding, and worse. FEMA is about to run out of money, and there are some people who say do it on a case-by-case basis and some people who say, you know, maybe we’re learning a lesson here that the states should take on more of this role. How do you deal with something like that?

ROMNEY: Absolutely. Every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that’s the right direction. And if you can go even further and send it back to the private sector, that’s even better.
Instead of thinking in the federal budget, what we should cut — we should ask ourselves the opposite question. What should we keep? We should take all of what we’re doing at the federal level and say, what are the things we’re doing that we don’t have to do? And those things we’ve got to stop doing, because we’re borrowing $1.6 trillion more this year than we’re taking in. We cannot…

KING: Including disaster relief, though?

ROMNEY: We cannot — we cannot afford to do those things without jeopardizing the future for our kids. It is simply immoral, in my view, for us to continue to rack up larger and larger debts and pass them on to our kids, knowing full well that we’ll all be dead and gone before it’s paid off. It makes no sense at all.

This is commonly interpreted to mean that Romney would eliminate or severely cut back FEMA. But that is not what he actually said. The Breitbart article cited above suggests that he just avoiding the question and reciting one of his talking points. If so, it came back to haunt him.

The technique of not answering questions is common enough among politicians not wish to offend anyone listening by actually taking a position. In this case it did not work out. It is frustrating to those of us who are trying to find out what a politician believes we should do (and what that politician may do if elected).

But now Romney seems to be supportive of FEMA. Below is a very recent quote from CBS News.

I believe that FEMA plays a key role in working with states and localities to prepare for and respond to natural disasters. As president, I will ensure FEMA has the funding it needs to fulfill its mission, while directing maximum resources to the first responders who work tirelessly to help those in need, because states and localities are in the best position to get aid to the individuals and communities affected by natural disasters.

But notice again what he actually says. While the statement appears to support FEMA in general, it offers no specifics. What is the “funding it needs”? Is what he thinks it needs similar to what you think it needs or in the same ballpark that recent administrations have allotted.

It seems unlikely to me that given the severe cuts to the domestic side of the budget promised by Governor Romney that FEMA or many other non-military or security agencies would fair well. FEMA seems especially unlikely to get adequate support since he seems to believe in state and local action in natural disasters.